Category Archives: WOE News

Future Babble: why expert predictions are wrong — and why we believe them anyway

Dan Gardner shows how pundits who are more famous are less accurate — and the average expert is no more accurate than a flipped coin.

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Predictions and the Australian Election

It seems Harry the Crocodile was the only one to successfully predict the outcome of the 2010 Australian Federal election. Otherwise, it was not a good election for Australia’s political prognosticators. First, they didn’t predict that Rudd would be ousted … Continue reading

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Let the War begin…

War On Experts is an ongoing project to record predictions as they are made and to follow up and see if they became correct. With so many pundits making all kinds of predictions these days, we thought it was about … Continue reading

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